Turfway Park December 26 Race 11
Race Analysis
TP Dec-26 Race 11
Holiday Cheer Stakes (Handicapping done before day of-race scratches)
A Handicapper’s Delight! You’ve got to look at a lot of factors to dope this race out. The conditions spotlight the classiest horses right off the bat: Preference is (1) Group/Graded Winners, (2) Stakes Winners, and (3) Highest total earnings in 2009.
Graded Winners: 2 CONNECTIONS, 4 ACCREDIT. After winning in Canada over TWO years ago, CONNECTIONS has had to drop down into the claiming ranks to win again—after only two races this year. A grand coup in the making? Not with my money! ACCREDIT is a confirmed need-to-lead horse and will be definitely be challenged by others early on in today’s race...
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Handicapping Report
Welcome to the free race of the day by Case The Race for Turfway Park on Saturday Dec-26! Today we are featuring Race 11. Below is a report showing a single number that we believe summarizes the potential of that horse in this race. Click the icons to see more information about each entry.
| 11 |
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RACE 11 - TURFWAY PARK |
Dec 26, 2009 |
| Holiday Cheer S. | 6 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 yos & up Stakes | Purse: $50,000 |
CASE Selections
Post
Position | Program
Number | Horse Name | Jockey | Rank | |
| 3 | 3 | Timbucto | Rodney A. Prescott | 100.00 |
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| 10 | 10 | Agastache | Thomas L. Pompell | 99.41 |
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| 2 | 2 | Connections | Carlos H. Marquez, Jr. | 99.19 |
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| 5 | 5 | Flavor | Yuri Yaranga | 99.09 |
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| 8 | 8 | Dynamite Bob | Pablo Tolentino | 97.99 |
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| 7 | 7 | Golden Country | Orlando Mojica | 97.87 |
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| 4 | 4 | Accredit | Larry J. Sterling, Jr. | 97.35 |
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| 1 | 1 | Forestry Gold | Rex A. Stokes, III | Layoff |
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| 9 | 9 | Harlan Street | Scott Spieth | Layoff |
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| 6 | 6 | Victory Notion | John McKee | Layoff |
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You should always consult an Official Race Program for official program numbers.
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DRF content is Copyright 2004 Daily Racing Form, LLC and Equibase Company LLC, all rights reserved.
Handicapper Selections
Below are free selections (picks) offerred by professional handicappers. To learn more about the handicapper click their name.
| | | Selections | | Analysis |
| George Kaywood | | Harlan Street
Agastache
Timbucto
| | Eyeball the running positions and it’s easy to see the race has a lot of early speed. A computer analysis of the pace picture, however, says “unknown.” However, with the need-to-lead histories of 3 TIMBUCTO and 4 ACCREDIT, the race sets up for a presser or a closer who can stay close behind. 9 HARLAN STREET has good numbers and good odds. Why am I not considering 5 FLAVOR? Price! As the ML favorite, he will certainly not get the odds a horse that has won his last 4 races should get. Death to the chalk!
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Member Selections
Below are the percentages of Members who prefer the shown selection.
Updated Dec-26 02:00 PM PST
| Selection | Percent |
| |
| Accredit |
17.8% |
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| Timbucto |
17.4% |
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| Flavor |
13.0% |
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| Harlan Street |
12.2% |
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| Connections |
10.0% |
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| Dynamite Bob |
7.8% |
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| Agastache |
7.8% |
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| Golden Country |
5.7% |
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| Forestry Gold |
4.3% |
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| Victory Notion |
3.9% |
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Comments: Turfway Park on Saturday Dec-26 Race 11
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Who do you think will win this race? What is the best bet? How are you using the CASE data? Or anything else you'd like to mention about this race.
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This race closes at 05:30 PM EST
on Saturday Dec-26. Our last update shows post time at 05:45 PM
EST.
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