The Nellie Morse is run at a the distance of a mile around one turn for older fillies and mares. The distance proves tough for a lot of front running types and lot of speed is entered here, including 7 to 5 morning line favorite #4 Weathered.

While I think she is the best horse in the race, the pressure early from stretch out sprinters #1 Heaven's Voice and #2 Lucky You could leave her vulnerable late.

The one I feel most likely to take advantage is #5 My Main Starr. She was compromised by a slow pace in her last but always comes running late. I will play her to win, and use her with the favorite in the exactas.