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Aqueduct December 5 Race 8
Updated: Dec-04-2009
Created: Dec-04-2009
4 BY THE LIGHT

2 HOLD THAT PROSPECT

3 DISTORTED PASSION

6 AWESOME ASHLEY

The top speed and class horse in this race is 1 SAARLIGHT and she makes a comeback after a layoff and some impressive races earlier this year that included a Grade 3 2nd place finish behind the future Grade 1 Test winner. On the negative side, she is an early speed runner on the rail, in against other early speed types and she has never won at 6 furlongs. 2 HOLD THAT PROSPECT makes a class jump, is in excellent form, has strong early speed and is a multiple winner at this distance. She is going to make it very difficult for 1 SAARLIGHT to show her best from the rail but can these two fight it out for the win and stick around at the finish. It is a possible scenario but another likely pace scenario is that others will sit behind a strong pace and get by the pace setters in the deep stretch for the win.

The most likely horse to accomplish the win is 4 BY THE LIGHT which may be the strongest stretch runner with good success on the Inner Track at this distance. She looks very well prepared to return from the layoff with a win.

3 DISTORTED PASSION and 6 AWESOME ASHLEY are picked 3-4 based on their current form, adequate abilities and the likely pace scenario in this Handicap feature race. They are running for the Pletcher Stable. Other key contenders that may benefit from a fast pace and heady rides are 9 ALL OF HER TWIST and 5 LADY ALEXANDER.

Let's go for a home run with Trifecta Part Wheels 2,4 with 2,3,4,6 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,9 and 2,4 with 1,2,3,4,5,6,9 with 2,3,4,6 and dutch win bets on top picks 4 and 2.



William White is a long time horseplayer, owner and breeder. He is primarily a speed/pace handicapper who often uncovers hidden pace abilities in overlooked runners. www.horsewin.ca


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