Case The Race - Handicapping data and information

16 Handicappers' Picks for the Breeders' Cup Classic

No consensus emerged in the wide distribution of handicappers’ Breeders’ Cup Classic selections and comments. While Zenyatta is clearly a factor in this race, only two handicappers, Cwayne of Picks and Plays and Mike DeAngelo of A Plus Thorobred selected Zenyatta to win. Some, such as Nico Kunalea of WiredFigs, expressed outright skepticism about the California contender’s chances. “Sorry Zenyatta fans; it ain't happening,” said Kunalea. In a survey of 16 handicappers’ selections, only one, Rip Van Winkle, was selected by more than 2 handicappers, with 3 naming Rip Van Winkle as their top choice to win. “Goldikova was considered 2nd best European last year and we all remember what she did. Rip is considered the 2nd best European this year, and I expect him to lead the parade home,” remarked Jeffery Cobb, Case the Race’s guest commentator for Calder Race Course. Bob Pandolfo of Sharphorses selected Richard’s Kid to win, but conceded that, “The horse to beat is Rip Van Winkle.”

Two of our guest commentators, Carl M. and Man in White, favored Gio Ponti to win. Regarding Gio Ponti, Man in White drew lessons from last year. He said, “Last year he was entered in a dirt race after running all turf races to that point and he obliged by running his lifetime fastest figure at Santa Anita. Today he approaches this race similarly with 5 turf races.”

Here is the breakdown of the handicappers’ selections.

Rip Van Winkle

3

Gio Ponti

2
Zenyatta
2

Richard's Kid

2

Quality Road

2

Summer Bird

2

Mine That Bird

1
Einstein
1
Girolamo
1

 

These are individual selections and comments.
Win

Best Bet

Handicapper
Comment
Site

Rip Van Winkle

Twice Over underneath in the exotics at 20/1

I'm expecting a photo finish between Rip Van Winkle and Zenyatta.  Should be a thrilling race to behold.

Rip Van Winkle

Exacta Box Rip Van Winkle with Summer Bird, Einstein, and Twice Over

Jeffery Cobb (See Calder comments for this week.)

Goldikova was considered 2nd best Euro last year and we all remember what she did. Rip is considered the 2nd best Euro this year, and I expect him to lead the parade home. I may be wrong, but I think Zenyatta looks over matched here. 

Rip Van Winkle

Race 7 #1  Mastercraftsman

Nico Kunalea

Sorry Zenyatta fans, it ain't happening.  Rip Van Winkle has raced in the shadow of what many consider the best horse in the world, Sea the Stars.

Gio Ponti

4,7 with 3,4,7,10.... Trifecta: 4 with 3,7,10.... 4,7 with 12 with 3,4,7,10

Carl M (See Oak Tree at Santa Anita comments for this week.)

This 4-years old colt is doing extremely well for today's race. Let's just toss out his last race as he didn't like the wet track. He can handle the synthetic track and will show how good he can be. To do so he will need to beat, Zenyatta. For sure a tough task but let's take a shot.  

Gio Ponti

Summer Bird

Man In White (See Churchill Downs comments for this week.)

Gio Ponti – Last year he was entered in a dirt race after running all turf races to that point and he obliged by running his lifetime fastest figure at Santa Anita. Today he approaches this race similarly with 5 turf races. Summer Bird - 3 times at this distance & won 2 with absolutely huge figures.

Zenyatta

Best Longshot Girolamo

Cwayne

Zenyatta will remain unbeaten, but look for Girolamo in the money with a decent payoff.

Zenyatta

Superfecta Key, Zenyatta over Colonel John, Richard's

Mike DeAngelo

Zenyatta handles this bunch with relative ease to remain undefeated.

Richard's Kid

Richards Kid

Bob Pandolfo

RICHARD’S KID is a peaking 4yo coming off the two best races of his career including a big win at this distance in the Pacific Classic, training strongly over the track and he could be set for another move forward. The horse to beat is RIP VAN WINKLE, who ran a big race against Sea The Stars at this distance on turf.

Richard's Kid

Exacta Key Box # 6 with 1 -2 -12; Win & Place on #6

John Theodore

This colt is on the improve since moving to the synthetic track with the addition of blinkers for the Baffert barn and the added distance should hit him right between the eyes today!

Quality Road

Richards Kid

Johnny Jupitur

Throw out the last two slop races for Quality Rd. He has all the numbers to win this. Richards Kid will be closing past Zenyatta.

Quality Road

Mine That Bird

William White

If Quality Road adapts to Poly he may surprise at a good price. Mine That Bird went well in the Goodwood. Look for improvement.

Summer Bird

Quality Road 

Tim Maas
 
Overlay Publications

Summer Bird

 

Michael A. Gooley

Very well bred with outstanding speed.  Solid key over Regal Ransom, Mine That Bird and Zenyatta

Mine That Bird

Exacta with Mine That Bird to Win (keyed) then followed by 12 (Quality Road), 3 (Summer Bird) and 7 (Gio Ponti).

Its Mine That Bird for the upset at a good price, strong closing speed, has run against some tough competition in past, gained ground in stretch last 2 races. Versatile horse with amazing closing speed that will hand Zenyatta a first defeat.

Einstein

3 horse box: Einstein, Summer Bird, and Zenyatta

Wiligee

ZENYATTA undefeated, but has EINSTEIN to beat at level,distance, and surface.

Girolamo

To WIN and try to squeeze him into your Pick 6

Steven Kolb

Long shot & why not? A young, strong and improving horse; Girolamo will be hustled to the front early. If he has enough left after a mile, he just might hold on.