Hey ya'all----

My focus for the next couple weeks will be on the 136th running of the Kentucky Derby as well as the Oaks on the day before the run for the roses. I think the keys to the finish will be what happens in the mornings from here to the race and I have the best sources in Louisville one can call on as I made many friends during my stay full time under the Twin Spires a couple summers ago. This info. is going to be filtered thru my daily blog so try not to miss a day as huge trifectas and superfectas are on the line.

First, the way to a huge profit always includes beating the favorites and I think one of the co-choices right now is a bit vunerable. I clock horses right now at Santa Anita and I wasn't thrilled with some of the behavior from Lookin At Lucky in the weeks before he left the Great Race Place. He was making noise during his gallops and wasn't exactly flush on his jogs back to the Baffert barn. My observations have held up as Gary Stevens was quoted on HRTV's Pursuit Of The Crown stating he heard noise and said that Lucky didn't look real comfortable over the Churchill dirt to his eyes from his vantage point in his most current workout.

Next, I have been told that Ice Box didn't really turn any heads with his 1/2 over the track. Blind Luck looks loaded for the Oaks as R Bejarano works her over the Pro Ride in 59.3 breezing on Sat.

Hope you all heard our radio show today as we pretty much diagrammed the late pick 4 at SA out with a minimal investment. Thanks to Larry Zap and Donald Harris for helping nail it!!!!! We also had MC Baze aboard which was timely as he went right to the circle to win the Graded Stake at Hawthorne for Todd Pletcher aboard Life Is Sweet. We archive the shows right here over Case by the next day at the latest. See ya'll later---Toby