By Randy Giles

#1 Fort Prado (#8)
#2 Due Date (#6)

Without early pace scratches the morning favorite (2/1), Mr. Nightlinger (#2), should face a fast pace and a crowded first tier. Having never won while racing more that ½ length off the pace at the second call, this one gets the call for underlay of day. No other early pace type in this match-up has recorded a competitive speed figure for the competition so we’ll move to the next tier, which ends up as a no go as well. This leaves the race to the two presser/closers: Due Date (ML 7/2) and Fort Prado (ML 5/1). The smart bet is always the best odds horse of the contenders so Fort Prado it is to coming running at the end for the win.

Randy Giles author of Extreme Pace Handicapping and the developer of PaceAppraiser PPs.  Learn more at Pace Appraiser.