Case The Race - Handicapping data and information

Travers Stakes Handicappers Favor Quality Road: 17 Handicappers' Selections

Get a full card of Saratoga Picks

 

An overwhelming 11 out of 17 handicappers named Quality Road to win the Travers stakes this weekend.  “If not for a quarter crack he may have been one of the favorites in the Derby,” said a handicapper from our current team of commentators for Saratoga, Saratoga Green.  Our Del Mar commentator, Cwayne of Picks and Plays added, “We tried to find a horse in this field to beat Quality Road and couldn't. The down side is that he'll be bet down to pennies on the dollar.”

 

Two distant runners up, Hold Me Back and Summer Bird were selected to win by two handicappers each.   One pick for Charitable Man and one for Kensei  completed the list.

 

People who like longshots may take a look at Our Edge.  According to Mike DiAngelo, of A Plus Thorobred, “Longshot Our Edge figures to set a blistering pace and may be worth a saver-bet.”   Also, with Saratoga’s reputation for bringing down favorites, Cwayne noted that not even a heavily favored favorite is safe.  Saratoga is rightfully known as the graveyard of favorites.  Our Edge could come in with long odds.”

 

Here is the breakdown of the 17 handicappers’ selections.

 

Quality Road

11

Hold Me Back

2

Summer Bird

2

Charitable Man

1

Kensei

1

 

These are individual selections and comments.

 

Win

Best Bet

Handicapper

Comment

Site

Quality Road

Key Exacta - Quality Road and All / All and Quality Road – Saver Exacta Box - Quality Road /Summer Bird/Kensei/Warrior’s Reward.

Clay M. (Read full comments)

Set a new track record in the Amsterdam but at 6 1/2, stretching back out should not be a problem. If not for a quarter crack he may have been one of the favorites in the Derby - Weather maybe an issue. (Read more…)

Saratoga Green

Quality Road

Exacta box:  1 Hold Me Back (VALUE), 4 Quality Road, and 6 Summer Bird 

Kristin Slape (Read Arlington Park comments too)

QUALITY ROAD (8/5) Pletcher charge already has a win for 1 start over the Saratoga main & his best dirt speed is fastest of these (BRIS 110 G2 Fountain of Youth).  His return to action in the G2 Amsterdam was impressive especially after stumbling at the break & going 5 wide.  My close 2nd choice is 6 SUMMER BIRD (3/1).

Trackside Broadcasting

Quality Road

Our Edge

Cwayne (Read Del Mar comments too)

We tried to find a horse in this field to beat Quality Road and couldn't. The downside is that he'll be bet down to pennies on the dollar. -- Saratoga is rightfully known as the graveyard of favorites.  Our Edge could come in with long odds.

Picks and Plays

Quality Road

Charitable Man

Jarrod Horak (Read Calder comments too.)

Quality Road wins this if able to get trip with one sprint prep since March. Charitable Man sports 2 bullets and should offer value 2nd off shelf.

Horse Racing Nation

Quality Road

$1 Exacta: Quality Road over Kensei and Summer Bird

Kevin Stafford (Laurel Park comments available during race days)

If Quality Road is the horse many think he is, this could be academic. Summer Bird and Kensei are talented enough to threaten.

The Aspiring Horseplayer

Quality Road

Exacta Box 4,6,7

Paul Lambrakis

Was one of the Derby favorites but got injured.  Had impressive comeback race and looks ready to roll.  

10 cent Superfecta

Quality Road

Trifecta Box. Quality Road/Charitable Man/ Kensei

Frank Ditondo

A G2 win and subsequent 5F work in 59.3 has Quality Road ready. Charitable Man won the Peter Pan in his second off a layoff. Kensei’s has two consecutive G2’s Saratoga route wins.

One Minute Handicapper

Quality Road

Quality Road (only morning-line overlay at lower-than-random fair odds)

Tim Maas

Quality Road: fair odds 7-5 (morning line 8-5); Kensei 7-2 (7-2); Summer Bird 6-1 (3-1 (underlay)); Our Edge 8-1 (15-1); all others 16-1 or higher.

Overlay Publications

Quality Road

Exacta:  4/2-6-7, $3.

John Lindley

Talented colt didn't make the Derby but he is trying to make up for lost time and he is the one to beat.

Parker's Picks

Quality Road

Kensei

Mike DeAngelo

Closely matched bunch figure to provide excitement in the SPA's signature race. Very slight edge to the morning line favorite QUALITY ROAD with KENSEI closing fast. Longshot OUR EDGE figures to set a blistering pace and may be worth a saver bet.

A Plus Thorobred

Quality Road

Saratoga Race 10  - #2  Informed Decision

Nico Kunalea

I thought Quality Road was the best 3 year old in America back in May.  Now, in the mid-summer derby, he will get a chance to prove it.

Wiredfigs

Hold Me Back

Warrior's Reward to Show

George Kaywood

If ANY early pace duel develops, Hold Me Back at ML of 15-1 is a closer play. A little hidden form helps too. Play for price!

Handicapping.com

Hold Me Back

Race 13 # 1 Pure Cognac

John Theodore

Not only was this colt a soft pace victim in his only fast dirt start in the Remsen, he was wide throughout against a strong rail bias!

Tripcapper

Summer Bird

Hold Me Back

Johnny Jupitur

It will be two closers to the wire - Summer Bird followed by Hold Me Back.

Postime Computer

Summer Bird

3 horse box: Summer Bird, Quality Road, & Kensei

Wiligee

As 1 of  2 proven at this level we will go with Summer Bird in the Travers and hope Quality Road doesn`t get  easy lead

Willie's Picks

Charitable Man

A straight win bet, no exotics

Mike Kratville

Charitable Man has run the longest race at the fastest pace call time (109.70) and yet tied the track record and this is his "perfect" distance.

Pick More Winners

Kensei

Quality Road

Man In White

Kensei won the Jim Dandy impressively. He’s also 2 for 2 at the Spa. Can he catch Quality Road? Quality Road on paper he looks unbeatable. Can he hold off the closers?

Post Time Cimputer