Case The Race - Handicapping data and information

Lost in the Fog Stakes
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By Donald Harris
EMPIRE OF THE SUN - Definite improvement when breaking maiden in second start.  Good gate quickness to clear field early.  Unfortunately I don't think that effort will stand up in this field.  Would surprise.

DECATUR ISLAND - Probably has the most room for improvement of any horse in the field.  Sizable gray did everything wrong in debut.  He spotted the field a head start.  Rushed up while stuck four wide every step of  the turn.  Flattened out in the lane while slow to switch leads.  Value in the exotics.

BALL BEARING - Needs a radical form reversal.  Would surprise.

LITTLE BUD BUD - The horse he held off in his debut has yet to win.  His quickness is useful but I have a hard time envisioning him holding for five furlongs.  Would surprise.

CAHILL COUNTRY - Is a colt that should continue to improve with racing.  But today he has too much catch up to do.  Exotics player.

SMILING COUNTRY - Big colt had no clue what he was doing but he still won by daylight.  I think he is very beatable today.  I was not overly impressed with his gate speed.  He could get in traffic trouble today.  Major player.

SWEET TIGER - Has never been a horse to wow while working at Hollywood.  Does appear to have a race horse mentality.  Exotics player.

ROOS ON THE LOOSE - Comes out of the fastest race by far.  I liked the way this colt kept to his task despite being unable to keep pace with a very fast O'Neill trainee.  Horse to beat.

ERIN'S CAJUN - Appreciated the way this colt won despite the poor trip in debut.  Broke poorly which led to him getting squeezed back early.  He did not get a clear trip until a sixteenth into the race.  Rallied with purpose for the win.  Exotics player.

HETCH - Big time quickness on display in debut.  Unfortunately the gelding had no clue what his job was in the stretch.  He lugged in a few lanes while looking into the stands.  This led to him getting run down.  Possible pace presence.  Would surprise.
WAGERING STRATEGY ($100 bankroll)
 
Sometimes races do not offer enough intrigue on the gambling side.  I don't see much value to be had in here.  I will pass.
  
LAST WEEK RESULTS: Loss of $100.00

NET RESULTS: Profit of 431.90
 
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By - Donald Harris