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20 Handicappers' Picks for the Kentucky Derby 2009

With the deadline fast approaching, a group of 20 handicappers analyzed the field, finalizing their selections for the moment of truth. The task was to deliver 2009 Kentucky Derby picks to us by 5:00 PM, April 30th. The first two selections we received put Musket Man in the lead. Then two for I Want Revenge tied the count. But as the day continued, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire pulled ahead as each selection for Dunkirk seemed to be matched by response favoring Friesan Fire. A late Dunkirk pick restored the tie. In the end, the final tie-breaking pick by Paul Lambrakis brought the count to 20 and gave Friesan Fire the win. 
From a field of 20 handicappers, these were the totals:

Friesan Fire
5
Dunkirk
4
I Want Revenge
3
Musket Man
3
Pioneerof the Nile
2
Advice
1
Desert Party
1
Papa Clem
1

Here are the handicappers’ individual selections to win and their best bet selections for the Kentucky Derby.

Win
Best Bet
Handicapper
Site
Comment
Friesan Fire
 
Terry Sarnoskie
Friesan Fire to win the Derby with I Want Revenge 2nd or to win if Friesan Fire is scratched.
Friesan Fire
 
Andy Schnell
Bred to run all day.  Same trainer as ill-fated Eight Belles in last year's Derby who plans to retire from training at year's end.
Friesan Fire
Key the 6 horse 1st, 2nd and 3rd with the 11, 13, 16 and 19 in trifecta part wheels.
Rich Santucci
Friesan Fire has a tightly spaced, impessively strong series of breezing works since crushing horses with a chilly ride in the sloppy LA-derby.
Friesan Fire
Friesan Fire over Chocolate Candy and Desert Party in the exacta.
Paul Lambrakis
Friesan Fire has been dominant since adding blinkers.  All his races have been on dirt with a bullet drill over Curchill Downs surface on Monday.
Friesan Fire
Exacta: 5,6 with 5,6,10,16
Carl Mauricio
Friesan Fire will be our Big Play for the Kentucky Derby. He was an impressive winner in his last and will move forward as this colt can really run. Lots of class here and he will be tough to beat.
Dunkirk
Exacta part wheel:  Dunkirk and I Want Revenge over Pioneer of The Nile and Desert Party.    #13 and 15 over #13,15,16 and 19.
Ray Fox
Huge stretch runner.  Was compromised in the Florida Derby by a track so fast that 3 track records were set that day.  Should be unbeaten.
Dunkirk
Exacta: 6-15/1-6-15-19.
 John Lindley
Dunkirk appears the most talented to me of this field.
Dunkirk
Musket Man
Cwayne
Musket Man (20-1) has won 5 of 6 starts on 4 different tracks. With probable off-track conditions and a 20 horse field, good value wager.
Dunkirk
Dunkirk
Man In White
Dynamite this year running huge figures. Pletcher is fortunate to get Prado who won with him as a firstee.
I Want Revenge
West Side Bernie
Gord Elder
 
I Want Revenge
Churchill Downs offers a 50 Cent Trifecta and a 10 cent Superfecta wager allowing for multiple combinations for either bet without making a big investment. 
Frank DiTodno, author "One Minute Handicapper"
Sensational since switch to Joe Talamo and synthetic to dirt. He has outstanding in G3 Gotham win and phenomenal G1 Wood. Gliding in brilliant Churchill workouts.
I Want Revenge
Friesan Fire
Matt Matuska
I Want Revenge and Friesan Fire should both get ideal trips against an average Derby pace scenario and will form major share of our exacta plays with DUNKIRK rounding out our top 3.
Musket Man
Musket Man
Johnny Jupitur
Musket Man is 5 for 6 lifetime. Will win it closing at the wire.
Musket Man
I Want Revenge
Michael A. Gooley
Super Value Win Bet Musket Man won the G2 Illinois Derby by 2 lengths in a classic powerful big win style. Worked bullet 6F - 4/18.
Musket Man
 
Mike DeAngelo
The Derby is about value. In a 20 horse field, longshots and small wagers are the way to go. We're calling this a three horse race between MUSKET MAN (20/1), PAPA CLEM (20/1) and I WANT REVENGE (3/1).
Pioneerof The Nile
Pioneerof The Nile
Wiligee
Three time derby winner Bob Baffert trains Pioneerof The Nile, who has already beaten 4 of these, including the favorite. Don`t overlook SA Derby winner.  
Pioneerof the Nile
Papa Clem
Tim Maas
 
Advice
Show bet on Dunkirk
George Kaywood
Advice = Best of the many closers, probable odds dictate the choice 3 days out (I usually pick the night before). Very tough race this year.
Desert Party 
Desert Party   
Nico Kunaleah
Godolphin Stable may finally have it's Derby winner. Trainer Saed Bin Suroor has this horse ready for the 1 and 1/4 mile test. At 20 to 1 this is the best bet.
Papa Clem 
Exacta key box Papa Clem w/ Dunkirk, I Want Revenge, and  Pioneer of the Nile.
Duwayne Fendrick
Papa Clem  will be coming out of the clouds in the end and I love R. Bejarano in the irons.

 
For additional selections, we encourage you to visit the sites from the handicappers in our directory.
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