Case The Race - Handicapping data and information

   Case The Race - Handicapping data and information


Case The Race - offering unique thoroughbred handicapping data!
CASE Variables
CASE The Race provides a unique new set of handicapping data for thoroughbred handicappers of all levels. The CASE handicapping report features data that is generated by using proprietary processes to collect and analyze equine biomechanic data. CASE provides the handicapper with four new parameters to use when evaluating a race horse, Coordination, Aerobic Efficiency, Stride Quality, and Endurance. CASE does not provide the handicapper with a set of "picks". CASE is a data provider.

Coordination
When we measure Coordination we measure the efficiency of the horses movement - efficiency of movement can preserve and focus energy, allowing the horse to translate more of their potential on that day into a good result.

When you are analyzing the Coordination index, you might want to review this data regarding the population of Coordination data in our database.

"C" - Statistics
Average 78
Minimum 21
Maximum 107
STD deviation 5.6

"C" - Distribution
90+ 3%
80 - 89 17%
75 - 79 62%
70 - 74 11%
60 - 69 5%
<60 1%

Aerobic Efficiency
When we measure Aerobic Efficiency we are looking at the efficiency of a horses' breathing (the effort required to breathe versus the amount of air inhaled). Supplying oxygen and removing carbon dioxide are crucial elements in determining the success of many athletic endeavors but especially horse races.

When you are analyzing the Aerobic Efficiency index, you might want to review this data regarding the population of Aerobic Efficiency data in our database.

"A" - Statistics
Average 76
Minimum 12
Maximum 109
STD deviation 12

"A" - Distribution
90+ 13%
80 - 89 11%
75 - 79 28%
70 - 74 32%
60 - 69 9%
< 60 8%

Stride Quality
When we measure Stride Quality we are building on the industry standard measure of stride length and taking this to a new level, utilizing more factors to provide a measure of the effectiveness and efficiency of stride, not simply how long it is.

When you are analyzing the Stride Quality index, you might want to review this data regarding the population of Stride Quality data in our database.

"S" - Statistics
Average 75
Minimum 12
Maximum 113
STD deviation 12

"S" - Distribution
90+ 7%
80 - 89 25%
75 - 79 19%
70 - 74 19%
60 - 69 22%
< 60 8%

Endurance
When we measure Endurance we are measuring the competitiveness of a horse's effort on that day, often referred to as "heart" or "gameness".

When you are analyzing the Endurance index, you might want to review this data regarding the population of Endurance data in our database.

"E" - Statistics
Average 60
Minimum 8
Maximum 106
STD deviation 23

"E" - Distribution
90+ 11%
80 - 89 14%
75 - 79 7%
70 - 74 7%
60 - 69 13%
< 60 48%
FAQ Q. Should young horses (2 and 3 year olds) which are being trained and learning show improving ratings over time? A related question, should the $8,000 claimer and the GS1 contender have similar ratings?
A. Horses that are 2 or 3 are still growing; and yes, based on that fact, we should see changes (both up and down). The fact they are young and learning is pertinent, but not determining. Class is a different subject than Athletic Indices. In essence, each race is written as a test (who can endure the particular challenges of track type, weather conditions, distance, and Class ? maiden claimers to G1). The CASE indices tell you how well the horse?fs basic athleticism endured the race.

Q. Is your analysis all through race replays or do you set up cameras at the race track?
A. The measurements are all captured through replays.

Q. Do you video workouts for first time starters?
A. This would be of great value and take a lot of the mystery out of these races. We will investigate possibilities of doing this, but currently we do not.

Q. Is there any info you can provide about how you measure coordination, aerobic efficiency, stride quality, endurance?
A. We analyze race video and use a proprietary approach that captures numerous measurements that make up each rating.

Q. Do you physically measure the horses heart patterns (ultrasound) like your sister company does when vetting the horse prior to recommendation at the sales?
A. There are no cardiovascular measurements used in our process.

Q. How should I bet with CASE?
A. One answer is provided by an early tester of CASE data. "I personally tend to mainly play the pick 4. I have found that the best use for me is to use my traditional handicapping method which involves many factors such as the Beyer, projected pace, success at distance, jockey/trainer, recent form, and workouts etc. Then I cross reference the CASE report and include horses that have the highest ratings that I overlooked. This has pointed me to horses I wouldn't have played and I've landed a couple of long-shots this way. I have also noticed that the highest rated horses hit the board quite often. I don't personally play trifectas or superfectas, but I think that the CASE data would be very helpful for these players to find live longshots not only for the win but underneath as well."
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