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Travers Stakes Handicappers Favor Quality Road: 17 Handicappers' Selections
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Updated: Aug-29-2009
Created: Aug-28-2009
An overwhelming 11 out of 17 handicappers named Quality Road to win the Travers stakes this weekend. “If not for a quarter crack he may have been one of the favorites in the Derby,” said a handicapper from our current team of commentators for Saratoga, Saratoga Green. Our Del Mar commentator, Cwayne of Picks and Plays added, “We tried to find a horse in this field to beat Quality Road and couldn't. The down side is that he'll be bet down to pennies on the dollar.”
Two distant runners up, Hold Me Back and Summer Bird were selected to win by two handicappers each. One pick for Charitable Man and one for Kensei completed the list.
People who like longshots may take a look at Our Edge. According to Mike DiAngelo, of A Plus Thorobred, “Longshot Our Edge figures to set a blistering pace and may be worth a saver-bet.” Also, with Saratoga’s reputation for bringing down favorites, Cwayne noted that not even a heavily favored favorite is safe. “Saratoga is rightfully known as the graveyard of favorites. Our Edge could come in with long odds.”
Here is the breakdown of the 17 handicappers’ selections.
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Quality Road
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11
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Hold Me Back
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2
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Summer Bird
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2
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Charitable Man
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1
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Kensei
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1
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These are individual selections and comments.
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Win
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Best Bet
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Handicapper
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Comment
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Site
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Quality Road
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Key Exacta - Quality Road and All / All and Quality Road – Saver Exacta Box - Quality Road /Summer Bird/Kensei/Warrior’s Reward.
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Clay M. (Read full comments)
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Set a new track record in the Amsterdam but at 6 1/2, stretching back out should not be a problem. If not for a quarter crack he may have been one of the favorites in the Derby - Weather maybe an issue. (Read more…)
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Saratoga Green
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Quality Road
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Exacta box: 1 Hold Me Back (VALUE), 4 Quality Road, and 6 Summer Bird
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Kristin Slape (Read Arlington Park comments too)
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QUALITY ROAD (8/5) Pletcher charge already has a win for 1 start over the Saratoga main & his best dirt speed is fastest of these (BRIS 110 G2 Fountain of Youth). His return to action in the G2 Amsterdam was impressive especially after stumbling at the break & going 5 wide. My close 2nd choice is 6 SUMMER BIRD (3/1).
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Trackside Broadcasting
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Quality Road
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Our Edge
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Cwayne (Read Del Mar comments too)
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We tried to find a horse in this field to beat Quality Road and couldn't. The downside is that he'll be bet down to pennies on the dollar. -- Saratoga is rightfully known as the graveyard of favorites. Our Edge could come in with long odds.
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Picks and Plays
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Quality Road
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Charitable Man
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Jarrod Horak (Read Calder comments too.)
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Quality Road wins this if able to get trip with one sprint prep since March. Charitable Man sports 2 bullets and should offer value 2nd off shelf.
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Horse Racing Nation
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Quality Road
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$1 Exacta: Quality Road over Kensei and Summer Bird
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Kevin Stafford (Laurel Park comments available during race days)
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If Quality Road is the horse many think he is, this could be academic. Summer Bird and Kensei are talented enough to threaten.
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The Aspiring Horseplayer
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Quality Road
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Exacta Box 4,6,7
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Paul Lambrakis
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Was one of the Derby favorites but got injured. Had impressive comeback race and looks ready to roll.
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10 cent Superfecta
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Quality Road
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Trifecta Box. Quality Road/Charitable Man/ Kensei
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Frank Ditondo
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A G2 win and subsequent 5F work in 59.3 has Quality Road ready. Charitable Man won the Peter Pan in his second off a layoff. Kensei’s has two consecutive G2’s Saratoga route wins.
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One Minute Handicapper
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Quality Road
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Quality Road (only morning-line overlay at lower-than-random fair odds)
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Tim Maas
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Quality Road: fair odds 7-5 (morning line 8-5); Kensei 7-2 (7-2); Summer Bird 6-1 (3-1 (underlay)); Our Edge 8-1 (15-1); all others 16-1 or higher.
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Overlay Publications
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Quality Road
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Exacta: 4/2-6-7, $3.
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John Lindley
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Talented colt didn't make the Derby but he is trying to make up for lost time and he is the one to beat.
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Parker's Picks
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Quality Road
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Kensei
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Mike DeAngelo
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Closely matched bunch figure to provide excitement in the SPA's signature race. Very slight edge to the morning line favorite QUALITY ROAD with KENSEI closing fast. Longshot OUR EDGE figures to set a blistering pace and may be worth a saver bet.
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A Plus Thorobred
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Quality Road
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Saratoga Race 10 - #2 Informed Decision
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Nico Kunalea
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I thought Quality Road was the best 3 year old in America back in May. Now, in the mid-summer derby, he will get a chance to prove it.
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Wiredfigs
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Hold Me Back
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Warrior's Reward to Show
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George Kaywood
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If ANY early pace duel develops, Hold Me Back at ML of 15-1 is a closer play. A little hidden form helps too. Play for price!
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Handicapping.com
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Hold Me Back
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Race 13 # 1 Pure Cognac
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John Theodore
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Not only was this colt a soft pace victim in his only fast dirt start in the Remsen, he was wide throughout against a strong rail bias!
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Tripcapper
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Summer Bird
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Hold Me Back
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Johnny Jupitur
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It will be two closers to the wire - Summer Bird followed by Hold Me Back.
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Postime Computer
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Summer Bird
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3 horse box: Summer Bird, Quality Road, & Kensei
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Wiligee
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As 1 of 2 proven at this level we will go with Summer Bird in the Travers and hope Quality Road doesn`t get easy lead
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Willie's Picks
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Charitable Man
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A straight win bet, no exotics
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Mike Kratville
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Charitable Man has run the longest race at the fastest pace call time (109.70) and yet tied the track record and this is his "perfect" distance.
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Pick More Winners
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Kensei
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Quality Road
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Man In White
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Kensei won the Jim Dandy impressively. He’s also 2 for 2 at the Spa. Can he catch Quality Road? Quality Road on paper he looks unbeatable. Can he hold off the closers?
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Post Time Cimputer
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Comments
Aug 29, 2009
10:54 AM |
Summer Bird 1st Hold Me Back 2nd is the only way to go |
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Aug 29, 2009
5:09 AM |
Charitable Man suprises with Hold Me Back not far behind |
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Aug 29, 2009
3:13 AM |
Quality Road could be a giant, but coming off a 6 1/2 fur to a 1 1/4 mile race is a giant leap as well, no mater how good he is, the rest of this field are a tough bunch. My pick, Charitable Man, Kensei, Quality Road in that order. Was a shame, Mine that Bird had to miss this race, I think he would of had a shot. |
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Aug 29, 2009
3:12 AM |
Quality Road could be a giant, but coming off a 6 1/2 fur to a 1 1/4 mile race is a giant leap as well, no mater how good he is, the rest of this field are a tough bunch. My pick, Charitable Man, Kensei, Quality, that order |
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Aug 29, 2009
3:11 AM |
Quailty Road could be a giant, but coming off a 6 1/2 fur to a 1 1/4 mile race is a giant leap as well, no mater how good he is, the rest of this field are a tough bunch. My pick, Charitable Man, Kensei, Quality, that order |
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Aug 29, 2009
12:14 AM |
I notice the first handicapper recommends front and back wheeling Quality Road, that`s an interesting strategy! I doubt you will pay for the meal at Siro`s using a fairly heavy fave this way. But you may just cash a ticket. Why not box the field, hard to miss the cashier that way. |
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