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Toby Turrell On The Belmont 2009
Updated: Jun-03-2009
Created: May-27-2009

The 3rd jewel of the Triple Crown takes place on Saturday with the running of the Belmont Stakes.  We wont have a champion of  all three legs once again this year but history might be made in another unique and special way if the same jockey happens to win the race on Mine That Bird. Yes, the story could read that of a Triple Crown winning jockey in Calvin Borel if he is victorious on Saturday.

I think he has a great shot to win with Mine That Bird but my personal angle on the race will be with a big longshot in Mr Hot Stuff. I have watched this colt closely since he started serious training at Santa Anita back in October and have several reasons to believe he can produce as a sleeper in the field.  My opinions are shaped by watching the colt blossom trackside in Arcadia going into the Santa Anita Derby and then seeing a further classy presence under the Twin Spires of Churchill Downs where I spent the entire Kentucky Derby week enjoying his spirited gallops over the dirt there.  Now, I can only take the word of his trainer that he is ready as Keeneland's polytrack has been used to put the final touches on his training and I of course am still at my home post of Santa Anita in the mornings thus cant tell ya'all how he looks in the past couple weeks.  Given the job that his connections have done recently with this colts close relatives Colonel John and Well Armed I think I am comfortable and confident to take the word of Mr Harty hopefully to the bank.  Furthermore, through a close friend of mine who spoke with Corey Nakatani into the past month I can verify that we havent seen the best of this 3 year old as he is a kid coming into his own both mentally and physically as we speak. Given the fact that he galloped out in front after the running of the Santa Anita Derby and has progressed on since then in the right manner I think we can make the assumption that perhaps a huge winning stretch kick might be in order in a few days.  Bottom line, go Calvin!!! go Mine That Bird!!!! but I am going to box the two horses in the exacta and play Mr Hot Stuff to win hoping for a big mutuel.




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Aug 01, 2009
10:29 PM
Summer Bird out of Birdstone is a born closer as is Mine that Bird. Therefore no shock at all. Can he beat R A the great filly. Possibly only of Munnings puts the screws to her throughout the race not just the 1st qtr, Munnings is really coming into his own and will be a great horse. Summer Bird is up against it in that Monmouth favors speed and the speed in RA and Munnings is just too strong and lasting for Summer Bird to do better than 3rd, He needs a mile and a half. He is a classic marathoner!


Jun 06, 2009
7:11 PM
For those few who had the insight to see that the other Bird ; Summer Bird was crying out for 12 furlongs, congrats. Shame there are not more races booked at 1 & a half miles. This horse just want to run on forever. When I saw him close for third behind Papa Clem in Ark Derby II, I knew he Belmont written all over his blaze. Calvin should have known better, but that 12 furlongs tricks even the best of them to move too early. Let's not forget Mine that Bird is gelding so now we have brave tough horse to follow for years! marks.411@hotmail.com The Travers is next!


Jun 05, 2009
8:43 PM
Hi Toby, Peter Rotondo picks Summer Bird,on horse players pro alerts,you dont have any comment on pro alerts for the big race?


Jun 05, 2009
8:12 PM
Zito all the way.


Jun 05, 2009
7:59 PM
I agree with your 2 Toby, but I am going to box 4 horses in a tri and a exacta. The 3rd and 4th horse are Dunkirk and Summer bird. Total bet will be 36.00


Jun 05, 2009
7:32 AM
To the Case The Race management and site users:...I have now discovered your site due to my loyalty of team Harris/Turrel. They are unequivocally the best in So. Cal...end of discussion. Just to let the site users know that with me using their So. Cal winners card and their So. Cal workout reports, I have swept the So. Cal pick 6 twice during the past 13 months: May 25th for over $600K (Toby had listed Mandate Perfecta and Star Nicohlas as horses to consider and they both came in!! One @ $58.00 and the other @ $88.00. In October they touted Rumba Along (around 11-1) over a 4-5 horse horse in the 1st leg, and I singled Rumba and the rest was history for $125k score.. and if your pk4 users; my favorite story of this astute team was late September when they said keep an eye on a horse trained by Gary Madella named Mobility who came in at huge odds (I believe 50-1), Alan Garcia was here to ride Regal Ransom in the Norfolk (I had Street Hero singled) and he also took the Mobility mount in the next race. I was fortunate to hit that pk4 two times for $76k. Case the race users: I believe the best value wager nationwide is the So. Cal pick 4 and the best information team out there is now with "Case The Race". I strongly suggest you take advantage of Case the race's aquisition of this team's service. brian--Mankato, MN


Jun 03, 2009
9:49 PM
Toby, Have been a huge fan of your workout analysis in SoCal for many years. For the few of you who don't know, he is a astute eye in workout patterns and his knowledge of trainers working up to big races.Being a horseowner himself, makes him uniquely qualified to notice the subtle changes that define a workout for exercise and a workout before a big effort. I too find Mr. Hot Stuff as a great value play in the race as both a fresh horse and one with improving form, infact when the others might not be moving in that direction.


Jun 03, 2009
7:33 AM
Thank you Toby. I have been going to the races since the early 1960's. My fathers idea of a family pinic was Santa Anita infield.I loved the races then and I still do. My point is I value your opion more than any other handicaper, Larry Zap runs a close second. Thank you for your effort over the years. Gary Collins gpcollins5@yahoo.com


Jun 02, 2009
8:59 PM
I enjoyed Toby's commnent's regarding the longshot possibility of Mr Hot Stuff for the Belmont. I subscribe to a racing magazine called American Turf. They have listed Mr Hot STUFF as their BEST BET of the Month. they have been known to select some great returns in big races. I'm also a fan of "Mind That Bird," but I too will be wagering on Mr Hot STUFF.. Leonard Sr.


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