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17 Handicappers on the Preakness
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Updated: May-17-2009
Created: May-15-2009
After a Kentucky Derby result that almost no one predicted, it takes a bit of fortitude to publicly share your handicapping selections for the Preakness Stakes. Fortunately, we found 17 handicappers with that fortitude. As with the Kentucky Derby, we asked handicappers to deliver their selections for the Preakness Stakes. The tally of selections gave 4 to Rachel Alexandra, 3 to Mine That Bird, and 2 each to Friesan Fire, Papa Clem, and Pioneerof The Nile. While Rachel Alexandra was the handicappers’ favorite to win, many focused on the challenge of finding value. Tim Maas, of Overlay Publications noted, “Each of the five ‘contenders’ in my odds line is an underlay, with morning-line odds that are lower than my fair odds.”
Here is the breakdown for our 17 handicappers’ selections:
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Rachel Alexandra
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4
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Mine That Bird
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3
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Friesan Fire
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2
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Papa Clem
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2
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Pioneerof The Nile
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2
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Big Drama
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1
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General Quarters
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1
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Musket Man
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1
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Take The Point
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1
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These are the individual selections and comments.
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Win
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Best Bet
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Handicapper
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Comment
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Rachel Alexandra
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Rachel Alexandra Exotic Bet in combination(s) with Mine That Bird/ Musket Man/ Friesan Fire /Pioneer of the Nile
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Frank DiTodno, author "One Minute Handicapper"
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Borel opts for Rachel Alexandra. He should know. Favorable Post. 5 lb weight advantage. Versatile running style. Eclipse Award trainer. Winner fast , wet and synthetic tracks.
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Rachel Alexandra
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Terry Sarnoskie
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Rachel Alexandra
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Exacta: 1-13/1-3-13, cost $4
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John Lindley
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Filly has dominated her foes in her four starts this year, the boys don't appear overwhelming and she clearly is the one to beat.
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Rachel Alexandra
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Longshot: Take the Points
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Tim Maas
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Each of the five "contenders" in my odds line is an underlay, with morning-line odds that are lower than my fair odds.
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Mine that Bird
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Big Drama
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Cwayne
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It would be easy to go for Rachel Alexandra with Borel defecting as the Bird's rider, but we think he can do it again. Well-rested and with plenty of speed, Big Drama would make a good value wager at 6 to 1 or better.
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Mine That Bird
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Mine That Bird
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Craig Milkowski
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His Sunland race was much better than people realize, and he may prove the Derby was no fluke.
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Mine That Bird
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Pioneerof The Nile
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Michael A. Gooley
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Mine That Bird won the prestigious Kentucky Derby in textbook classic big win style. Continues to improve posting high triple digit speed rating. Definitely Triple Crown material in all respects!
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Friesan Fire
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Win bet on Friesan Fire
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Paul Lambrakis
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Lost all chance at start in Derby and wasn't persevered with. Goes into this race as a fresh horse. Note sharp workout Tuesday.
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Friesan Fire
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A 3-horse exacta box Friesan Fire, Rachel Alexandra and Pioneer of the Nile.
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Ray Fox
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Wow!! Winning jockey of the Kentucky Derby gets off? Unheard of. The filly is great, but against the boys. Dry track, shorter distance and sharp turns, I'll take the speed, Frirsan Fire.
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Papa Clem
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Rachel Alexandra
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Mike DeAngelo
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On paper, Rachel Alexandra looks unbeatable. Borel passing on a chance to ride a Triple Crown victor speaks volumes. Papa Clem can upset at a price.
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Papa Clem
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Exacta box Papa Clem / Pioneer of the Nile and Rachel Alexandra
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Duwayne Fendrick
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Value play!
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Pioneerof The Nile
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4 horse exacta box
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Wiligee
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My heart wants me to go with Derby winner, but I have stick with the Pioneer. He looked like a winner at head of stretch.
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Pioneerof The Nile
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Pioneerof The Nile
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Kenneth Strong
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We liked him in the Kentucky Derby and he ran a gutsy second, so we'll stick with him again at a nice price!
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Big Drama
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Big Drama
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Man In White
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Big Drama Gets better w/every race. At Calder, he was running away from the field. Breeding suggests he could certainly go the extra 1/8 mi. His figures & Johnny V put him in the mix.
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General Quarters -- for value
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Exacta Part Wheel with 8 Rachel Alexandra on top and under 1 Big Drama,5 Friesan Fire,8 General Quarters
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George Kaywood
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Weather & distance big factors in this race. Several pace scenarios, so I'll go for price horses. Don't see any sure things in this race.
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Musket Man
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Box #2, #3, #6 and #13
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Gord Elder
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Filly may not be quite good enough. Look for more from Musket Man. Terrain may surprise at odds. Mine That Bird loses jockey, needs trip.
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Take The Point
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Musket man
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Johnny Jupitur
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Musket Man continues to impress. Take The Point will score the second big upset in the triple crown.
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For additional selections, we encourage you to visit the sites from these handicappers in our directory.
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The editorial staff of Case the Race is grateful to all the contributors who generously shared their selections with us. Feel free to post comments on this article. If you have questions or comments you do not wish to post, please use the Contact Us page to reach the editor.
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Jul 07, 2010
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I think everyone watching the race was surprised this year. It just goes to show that sports betting is never a guaranteed thing, and sometimes almost everyone loses. |
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May 15, 2009
6:08 PM |
Rachel over Pioneer, Musket Man. Papa Clem, Friesan Fire and Big Drams. Then turn it with Rachel second both Tri, Exacta and Super. Total cost $$108.00 |
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